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How U.S. gun laws change after mass shootings (gun policy)

How U.S. gun laws change after mass shootings — and whether those changes reduce harm — rests on contested data from federal agencies and academic studies.

In short

After a mass shooting, you might expect new rules to make guns harder to get. But research shows the opposite often happens in some states. Economists Michael Luca, Deepak Malhotra, and Christopher Poliquin studied many years of state laws. They found that in states where Republicans control the legislature, the number of laws that loosen gun rules roughly doubles in the year after a mass shooting. In states run by Democrats, they saw no clear change. Texas is one real example. After deadly school shootings, leaders talked about new limits but instead passed a law letting most adults carry a handgun without a permit. About 29 states now allow this kind of carry. People disagree about what this means. Some studies link looser carry laws to more gun assaults. Other researchers argue that more legal gun owners can scare off criminals, though that idea is debated and not proven. There is no full agreement among experts. The numbers below come from the studies and news reports themselves, so you can look and decide for yourself.

What the video claims, and where the numbers come from

What the video saysWhere the number comes fromHow it holds upFuller context
In Republican-controlled state legislatures, a mass shooting roughly doubles the number of laws loosening gun restrictions enacted in the following year.NBER Working Paper 26187, 'The Impact of Mass Shootings on Gun Policy' by Michael Luca, Deepak Malhotra, and Christopher Poliquin (2019; later published in the Journal of Public Economics). The paper states: 'The annual number of laws that loosen gun restrictions doubles in the year following a mass shooting in states with Republican-controlled legislatures.' It finds no significant effect in Democrat-controlled legislatures and no significant effect on laws that tighten restrictions.
source
checks outVerified directly from the source paper. The 'roughly doubles' figure and the Republican-legislature condition match the video's description exactly. This is an observational/regression finding, not a controlled experiment.
The 2018 Santa Fe High School shooting in Texas killed 10 people.Contemporary news coverage of the May 18, 2018 shooting at Santa Fe High School near Houston, Texas (CNN, NPR, Texas Tribune). Ten people were killed (eight students and two teachers) and 13 were wounded.
source
checks outConfirmed by multiple independent outlets. Death toll of 10 is consistent across CNN, NPR, and the Texas Tribune.

The sources, left to right

2 leans left2 center1 leans right
CenterNBER / Luca, Malhotra & Poliquin, 'The Impact of Mass Shootings on Gun Policy'backs the video’s point
Peer-reviewed economics research finding that a mass shooting roughly doubles the number of gun-loosening laws enacted the next year in Republican-controlled legislatures, with no significant effect in Democrat-controlled ones. This is the study the video's central claim rests on.
Leans LeftThe Texas Tribune (state news outlet)backs the video’s point
Reports that after the 2018 Santa Fe shooting and 2019 El Paso/Odessa shootings, Texas leaders floated red-flag laws and background checks but ultimately passed permitless ('constitutional') carry instead, loosening rather than tightening rules. Directly backs the video's pattern.
Leans LeftJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Healthbacks the video’s point
A study found a significant increase in firearm assaults in states that relaxed concealed-carry permit requirements, supporting the concern that loosening laws can carry public-safety costs.
CenterRAND Corporation, 'The Science of Gun Policy'
A broad synthesis of the research. Finds supportive evidence that 'shall-issue' concealed-carry laws increase total and firearm homicides and some violent crime, but rates the evidence on permitless-carry laws' effects on homicide as inconclusive. A measured, mixed picture rather than a one-direction verdict.
Leans RightJohn Lott / Crime Prevention Research Center, 'More Guns, Less Crime'
Argues that right-to-carry laws deter crime because criminals fear armed victims, and that legal carry reduces violent crime. This is the deterrence/self-defense case the video does not present. Note: the thesis is contested; the National Research Council (2004) found little reliable statistical support for it.

The data

Gun-loosening laws after a mass shooting, by who controls the legislature
Republican-controlled (next-year change)2
Democrat-controlled (next-year change)1
NBER research finds the number of laws loosening gun rules roughly doubles the next year in Republican-controlled legislatures, with no significant change in Democrat-controlled ones. · source
States with permitless carry (2025)
29
People killed
10